Kyle Connor

Winnipeg Jets · LW · #81

VAN @ WPG · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 Points, typical price −1905 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

75%9 of 12L20 · Without Morrissey

Under 1.5 Points hit in 9 of 12 games without Josh Morrissey (his last 20 games).

vs PHI, 2026-04-11: 0, hit, 19.5 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-04-13: 1, hit, 21.4 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-04-14: 2, missed, 20.9 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-04-16: 0, hit, 18.3 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-10-02: 2, missed, 20.9 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-10-04: 3, missed, 20.1 min (not counted)
at PIT, 2026-10-05: 0, hit, 22 min (not counted)
vs COL, 2026-10-07: 2, missed, 20.1 min (not counted)
vs ANA, 2026-10-09: 1, hit, 23.9 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-13: 2, missed, 17.4 min
at CHI, 2026-10-15: 1, hit, 21.1 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 20.2 min
at STL, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 21.7 min
at DAL, 2026-10-22: 1, hit, 23 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-25: 0, hit, 24.4 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 21.6 min
at TB, 2026-10-29: 2, missed, 19.2 min
at FLA, 2026-10-30: 1, hit, 20.7 min
at CAR, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 19.3 min
at MTL, 2026-11-03: 2, missed, 27.8 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Josh Morrissey: Injured Reserve (wrist)
Under 1.5 without him: 12 of 17; with him: 57 of 86 (103 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs forwards
VAN allow 9.06 points a game to forwards: the most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 8.60, 3rd most
Teammate out
Vladislav Namestnikov: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Under 1.5 without him: 22 of 32; with him: 48 of 72 (104 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Leevi Merilainen (Expected)
Saves: 271 of 302 (.897) over his last 10 games · 7 of VAN's last 10 starts

Splits

Under 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against VAN in his last 20; Under 1.5 hit in 4 of 6 against VAN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L20

Mark ScheifeleC
Josh MorrisseyDInjured Reserve
Neal PionkD
Vladislav NamestnikovCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Jets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VAN

Points: 1 in 25.2 min, Mar 7 (home)

Under 1.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against VAN on record

L20 · Without Morrissey · Under 1.5

Average: 0.8; −0.7 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 75%; 9 of 12
Price implies: 66%; at −190
Books’ fair: 61%; margin removed
Our chance: 66%; estimate · fair −195

Research, not a pick. At −190 the price beats our fair −195, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Morrissey

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−3605 books	—	5/12
+1285 books	−1901 book	9/12
+3755 books	—	12/12
+16001 book	—	12/12

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings5 min ago	+140Best	−190Best
Bally Bet4 min ago	+128	—
betPARX5 min ago	+128	—
BetRivers3 min ago	+128	—
FanDuel2 min ago	+132	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:32 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under isn't priced at 1.5 right now.

Kyle Connor's full game log and splits