Kyle Connor

Winnipeg Jets · LW · #81

VAN @ WPG · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1435 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

33%4 of 12L20 · Without Morrissey

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of 12 games without Josh Morrissey (his last 20 games).

vs PHI, 2026-04-11: 2, missed, 19.5 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-04-13: 3, missed, 21.4 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-04-14: 6, cleared, 20.9 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-04-16: 7, cleared, 18.3 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-10-02: 9, cleared, 20.9 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-10-04: 5, cleared, 20.1 min (not counted)
at PIT, 2026-10-05: 6, cleared, 22 min (not counted)
vs COL, 2026-10-07: 4, cleared, 20.1 min (not counted)
vs ANA, 2026-10-09: 3, missed, 23.9 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-13: 3, missed, 17.4 min
at CHI, 2026-10-15: 5, cleared, 21.1 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-17: 2, missed, 20.2 min
at STL, 2026-10-20: 4, cleared, 21.7 min
at DAL, 2026-10-22: 3, missed, 23 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-25: 5, cleared, 24.4 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-27: 3, missed, 21.6 min
at TB, 2026-10-29: 3, missed, 19.2 min
at FLA, 2026-10-30: 2, missed, 20.7 min
at CAR, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 19.3 min
at MTL, 2026-11-03: 8, cleared, 27.8 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Josh Morrissey: Injured Reserve (wrist)
Over 3.5 without him: 7 of 17; with him: 38 of 86 (103 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs forwards
VAN allow 24.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: the most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 24.4, the most
Teammate out
Vladislav Namestnikov: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Over 3.5 without him: 14 of 32; with him: 31 of 72 (104 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Leevi Merilainen (Confirmed)
Saves: 271 of 302 (.897) over his last 10 games · 7 of VAN's last 10 starts

Splits

Over 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against VAN in his last 20; Over 3.5 cleared in 2 of 6 against VAN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L20

Mark ScheifeleC
Josh MorrisseyDInjured Reserve
Neal PionkD
Vladislav NamestnikovCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Jets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VAN

Shots on Goal: 3 in 25.2 min, Mar 7 (home)

Over 3.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against VAN on record

L20 · Without Morrissey · Over 3.5

Average: 3.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 3; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 33%; 4 of 12
Price implies: 59%; at −143
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Time on ice: 21.7; 12 games · 21.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 53%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Morrissey

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−50001 book	—	12/12
−12002 books	—	12/12
−3102 books	—	9/12
−1435 books	−1044 books	4/12
+1782 books	—	3/12
+3402 books	—	1/12
+6502 books	—	1/12

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
DraftKings6 min ago	−120Best	−115
FanDuel4 min ago	−125	−104
Bally Bet6 min ago	−143	+100Best
betPARX5 min ago	−143	+100Best
BetRivers4 min ago	−143	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:00 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

4.5 → 3.5 since first seen

Kyle Connor's full game log and splits