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Kyle Connor

Winnipeg Jets · LW · #81

WPG @ MTL · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +1637 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TonightTeammate out

    Josh Morrissey: Injured Reserve (wrist)

    Over 0.5 without him: 9 of 17; with him: 34 of 87 (104 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Vladislav Namestnikov: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)

    Over 0.5 without him: 14 of 31; with him: 29 of 73 (104 games as teammates)

  • Opposing goalie

    Jacob Fowler (Confirmed)

    Saves: 239 of 256 (.934) over his last 10 games · 7 of MTL's last 10 starts

  • Defense vs forwards

    MTL allow 2.57 goals a game to forwards: 17th most of 32

    14 games · last 10 games: 1.90, 31st most

Game log against Over 0.5

55%6 of 11L20 · Without Morrissey

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 6 of 11 games without Josh Morrissey (his last 20 games).

  1. at STL, 2026-04-09: 0, missed, 20.9 min (not counted)
  2. vs PHI, 2026-04-11: 0, missed, 19.5 min (not counted)
  3. at VGK, 2026-04-13: 0, missed, 21.4 min (not counted)
  4. at UTAH, 2026-04-14: 1, cleared, 20.9 min (not counted)
  5. vs SJ, 2026-04-16: 0, missed, 18.3 min (not counted)
  6. vs BOS, 2026-10-02: 1, cleared, 20.9 min (not counted)
  7. at DET, 2026-10-04: 2, cleared, 20.1 min (not counted)
  8. at PIT, 2026-10-05: 0, missed, 22 min (not counted)
  9. vs COL, 2026-10-07: 2, cleared, 20.1 min (not counted)
  10. vs ANA, 2026-10-09: 1, cleared, 23.9 min
  11. vs MIN, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 17.4 min
  12. at CHI, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 21.1 min
  13. vs CAR, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 20.2 min
  14. at STL, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 21.7 min
  15. at DAL, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 23 min
  16. vs MTL, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 24.4 min
  17. vs FLA, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 21.6 min
  18. at TB, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 19.2 min
  19. at FLA, 2026-10-30: 1, cleared, 20.7 min
  20. at CAR, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 19.3 min
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

  • Mark ScheifeleC

  • Josh MorrisseyDInjured Reserve

  • Neal PionkD

  • Vladislav NamestnikovCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Jets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MTL

Goals: 0 in 24.4 min, Oct 25 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against MTL on record

L20 · Without Morrissey · Over 0.5

Average
0.5
+0 vs line
Median
1
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
55%
6 of 11
Price implies
38%
at +163
Books’ fair
35%
margin removed
Time on ice
21.1
11 games · 21.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 35%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Morrissey
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
+1637 books−2352 books6/11
+8986 books—0/11
+49516 books—0/11
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
FanDuel1 min ago+170Best−240
Bally Bet2 min ago+163—
betPARX1 min ago+163—
BetRivers1 min ago+163—
Pinnacle2 min ago+160−230Best
Bovada2 min ago+159—
DraftKings10 min ago+145—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 4:54 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +160 → +163 since first seen

Kyle Connor's full game log and splits