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Kyle Connor

Winnipeg Jets · LW · #81

WPG @ MTL · Live
OverUnder3.5
Over 3.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1203 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 3.5

27%3 of 11L20 · Without Morrissey

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 3 of 11 games without Josh Morrissey (his last 20 games).

  1. at STL, 2026-04-09: 6, cleared, 20.9 min (not counted)
  2. vs PHI, 2026-04-11: 2, missed, 19.5 min (not counted)
  3. at VGK, 2026-04-13: 3, missed, 21.4 min (not counted)
  4. at UTAH, 2026-04-14: 6, cleared, 20.9 min (not counted)
  5. vs SJ, 2026-04-16: 7, cleared, 18.3 min (not counted)
  6. vs BOS, 2026-10-02: 9, cleared, 20.9 min (not counted)
  7. at DET, 2026-10-04: 5, cleared, 20.1 min (not counted)
  8. at PIT, 2026-10-05: 6, cleared, 22 min (not counted)
  9. vs COL, 2026-10-07: 4, cleared, 20.1 min (not counted)
  10. vs ANA, 2026-10-09: 3, missed, 23.9 min
  11. vs MIN, 2026-10-13: 3, missed, 17.4 min
  12. at CHI, 2026-10-15: 5, cleared, 21.1 min
  13. vs CAR, 2026-10-17: 2, missed, 20.2 min
  14. at STL, 2026-10-20: 4, cleared, 21.7 min
  15. at DAL, 2026-10-22: 3, missed, 23 min
  16. vs MTL, 2026-10-25: 5, cleared, 24.4 min
  17. vs FLA, 2026-10-27: 3, missed, 21.6 min
  18. at TB, 2026-10-29: 3, missed, 19.2 min
  19. at FLA, 2026-10-30: 2, missed, 20.7 min
  20. at CAR, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 19.3 min
ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different on Tuesday

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TueTeammate out

    Josh Morrissey: Injured Reserve (wrist)

    Over 3.5 without him: 6 of 17; with him: 39 of 87 (104 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Vladislav Namestnikov: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)

    Over 3.5 without him: 13 of 31; with him: 32 of 73 (104 games as teammates)

  • Opposing goalie

    Jacob Fowler started MTL's last game

    Saves: 239 of 256 (.934) over his last 10 games · 7 of MTL's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet

  • Defense vs forwards

    MTL allow 19.9 shots on goal a game to forwards: 18th most of 32

    14 games · last 10 games: 19.8, 16th most

Splits

Over 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L20
  • Mark ScheifeleC

  • Josh MorrisseyDInjured Reserve

  • Neal PionkD

  • Vladislav NamestnikovCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out on Tuesday. Only games they were teammates on the Jets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MTL

Shots on Goal: 5 in 24.4 min, Oct 25 (home)

Over 3.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against MTL on record

L20 · Without Morrissey · Over 3.5

Average
3.2
−0.3 vs line
Median
3
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
27%
3 of 11
Price implies
45%
at +120
Books’ fair
42%
margin removed
Time on ice
21.1
11 games · 21.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 42%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Morrissey
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−35001 book—11/11
−5751 book—11/11
−2001 book—8/11
+1203 books−1603 books3/11
+2601 book—2/11
+5501 book—0/11
+11001 book—0/11
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
Bally Bet38 hr ago+125Best−177
DraftKings38 hr ago+120−160Best
Pinnacle38 hr ago+120−160Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: +112 → +120 since first seen

Kyle Connor's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.