Kirill Kaprizov

Minnesota Wild · LW · #97

SJ @ MIN · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 Points, typical price −1352 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 1.5 Points hit in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 at home).

vs STL, 2026-10-15: 3, missed, 22.9 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-18: 1, hit, 22.5 min
at EDM, 2026-10-20: 2, missed, 21.8 min
at CGY, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 24.9 min
at SEA, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 17.9 min
at VAN, 2026-10-25: 2, missed, 21.9 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-27: 2, missed, 24.6 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-29: 1, hit, 21.8 min
at WSH, 2026-11-01: 1, hit, 21.7 min
at PHI, 2026-11-03: 1, hit, 21.5 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 points.

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Brock Faber: Injured Reserve (skull)
Under 1.5 without him: 9 of 17; with him: 61 of 89 (106 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Nick Foligno: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 1.5 without him: 8 of 16; with him: 19 of 27 (43 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Yaroslav Askarov (Expected)
Saves: 259 of 292 (.887) over his last 10 games · 6 of SJ's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
SJ allow 7.24 points a game to forwards: 7th most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 7.30, 8th most

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SJ in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 2 of 8 against SJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Quinn HughesD
Matt BoldyLW
Joel Eriksson EkC
Brock FaberDInjured Reserve
Nick FolignoLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wild count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SJ

Points: 0 in 21.3 min, Dec 31, 2025 (away)

Under 1.5 hit in 2 of 8 games against SJ on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −135
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −129

Research, not a pick. At −135 the price is worse than our fair −129, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5001 book	—	1/10
+1002 books	−1351 book	5/10
+3002 books	—	9/10
+9001 book	—	10/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings9 min ago	+100	−135Best
FanDuel5 min ago	+106Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under isn't priced at 1.5 right now.

Kirill Kaprizov's full game log and splits