Justin Faulk

Detroit Red Wings · D · #72

DET @ TB · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +7505 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Dylan Larkin: Injured Reserve (suspension)
Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 13; with him: 4 of 19 (32 games as teammates)
TonightDefense vs defensemen
TB allow 0.77 goals a game to defensemen: 3rd most of 32
13 games · last 10 games: 1.00, 2nd most
TonightRest · back-to-back
Red Wings played last night (at FLA): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Simon Edvinsson: Injured Reserve (contract dispute)
Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 15; with him: 4 of 17 (32 games as teammates)

33%2 of 6L20 · Without Larkin

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 2 of 6 games without Dylan Larkin (his last 20 games).

vs CBJ, 2026-04-07: 2, cleared, 23.7 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-09: 0, missed, 18.7 min (not counted)
vs NJ, 2026-04-11: 1, cleared, 22.5 min (not counted)
at TB, 2026-04-13: 0, missed, 20.5 min (not counted)
at FLA, 2026-04-15: 1, cleared, 20 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-02: 0, missed, 21.5 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 19.5 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-06: 1, cleared, 18.4 min (not counted)
vs SEA, 2026-10-09: 0, missed, 18.8 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 18.3 min (not counted)
vs NJ, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 19.6 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 18.3 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 19.7 min (not counted)
at SEA, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 18.7 min (not counted)
at VAN, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 20.4 min (not counted)
at CGY, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 20.4 min (not counted)
at EDM, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 22.3 min (not counted)
vs CHI, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 20.4 min
vs STL, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 22.1 min
at FLA, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 20.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Alex DeBrincatRW
Viktor ArvidssonLW
Dylan LarkinCInjured Reserve
Simon EdvinssonDInjured Reserve
Albert JohanssonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Red Wings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TB

Goals: 0 in 20.5 min, Apr 13 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 6 games against TB on record

L20 · Without Larkin · Over 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 33%; 2 of 6
Price implies: 12%; at +750
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Time on ice: 20.7; 6 games · 22 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Larkin

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L20
	+7505 books	pick'em only	2/6
	+110003 books	—	0/6

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings12 min ago	+1200Best	—
FanDuel1 min ago	+950	—
Bally Bet7 min ago	+750	—
betPARX1 min ago	+750	—
BetRivers1 min ago	+750	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:38 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +700 → +750 since first seen

Justin Faulk's full game log and splits