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Justin Faulk

Detroit Red Wings · D · #72

DET @ TB · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Points, typical price +2153 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • YesterdayTeammate out

    Dylan Larkin: Injured Reserve (suspension)

    Over 0.5 without him: 4 of 13; with him: 8 of 19 (32 games as teammates)

  • YesterdayRest · back-to-back

    Red Wings played the day before (at FLA): a back-to-back

  • Teammate out

    Simon Edvinsson: Injured Reserve (contract dispute)

    Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 15; with him: 6 of 17 (32 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Albert Johansson: Out (undisclosed)

    Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 4; with him: 10 of 28 (32 games as teammates)

Game log against Over 0.5

50%3 of 6L20 · Without Larkin

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 3 of 6 games without Dylan Larkin (his last 20 games).

  1. vs CBJ, 2026-04-07: 2, cleared, 23.7 min (not counted)
  2. vs PHI, 2026-04-09: 0, missed, 18.7 min (not counted)
  3. vs NJ, 2026-04-11: 1, cleared, 22.5 min (not counted)
  4. at TB, 2026-04-13: 1, cleared, 20.5 min (not counted)
  5. at FLA, 2026-04-15: 1, cleared, 20 min
  6. vs NYR, 2026-10-02: 0, missed, 21.5 min
  7. vs WPG, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 19.5 min
  8. vs OTT, 2026-10-06: 2, cleared, 18.4 min (not counted)
  9. vs SEA, 2026-10-09: 0, missed, 18.8 min (not counted)
  10. at MTL, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 18.3 min (not counted)
  11. vs NJ, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 19.6 min (not counted)
  12. vs PHI, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 18.3 min (not counted)
  13. vs SJ, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 19.7 min (not counted)
  14. at SEA, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 18.7 min (not counted)
  15. at VAN, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 20.4 min (not counted)
  16. at CGY, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 20.4 min (not counted)
  17. at EDM, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 22.3 min (not counted)
  18. vs CHI, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 20.4 min
  19. vs STL, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 22.1 min
  20. at FLA, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 20.5 min
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

  • Alex DeBrincatRW

  • Viktor ArvidssonLW

  • Dylan LarkinCInjured Reserve

  • Simon EdvinssonDInjured Reserve

  • Albert JohanssonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Red Wings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TB

Points: 1 in 20.5 min, Apr 13 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against TB on record

L20 · Without Larkin · Over 0.5

Average
0.7
+0.2 vs line
Median
0.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
3 of 6
Price implies
32%
at +215
Books’ fair
30%
margin removed
Time on ice
20.7
6 games · 22 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 30%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Larkin
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
+2153 books−2872 books3/6
+15001 book—1/6
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
Bally Bet6 hr ago+225Best—
DraftKings6 hr ago+215−300
Pinnacle6 hr ago+200−275Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +192 → +215 since first seen

Justin Faulk's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.