Jordan Martinook
CAR @ NSH · Today 8:00 PM
What's different tonight
Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Taylor Hall: Out (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 6 of 10; with him: 76 of 112 (122 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Staal: Injured Reserve (calf)
Under 0.5 without him: 10 of 15; with him: 72 of 107 (122 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Juuse Saros (Confirmed)
Saves: 278 of 308 (.903) over his last 10 games · 7 of NSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NSH allow 6.29 points a game to forwards: 19th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 6.40, 17th most
Game log against Under 0.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 0.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 points.
Splits
Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NSH in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 against NSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 0.5 · L10Sebastian AhoC
Jackson BlakeRW
Nikolaj EhlersLW
Taylor HallLWOut
Jordan StaalCInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Hurricanes count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NSH
Points: 0 in 5.7 min, Dec 17, 2025 (away)
Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against NSH on record
L10 · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 71%
- at −245
- Books’ fair
- 66%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 64%
- estimate · fair −177
Research, not a pick. At −245 the price is worse than our fair −177, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1905 books | −2451 book | 6/10 | |
| +11001 book | — | 9/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings10 min ago | +175 | −245Best |
| Bally Bet7 min ago | +190Best | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | +190Best | — |
| BetRivers2 min ago | +190Best | — |
| Bovada7 min ago | +188 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:42 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.