Jordan Kyrou
DAL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PMWhat's different tonight
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightDefense vs forwards
DAL allow 4.14 points a game to forwards: the fewest of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 4.70, 30th most
Teammate out
Rasmus Sandin: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 8 of 13; with him: no games (13 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Vincent Desharnais: Injured Reserve (abdomen)
Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 4; with him: 5 of 9 (13 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Jake Oettinger (Confirmed)
Saves: 191 of 207 (.923) over his last 10 games · 8 of DAL's last 10 starts
Game log against Over 0.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (6 of 8 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against DAL in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 5 of 8 against DAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Jack St. IvanyD
Alex TuchRW
Pierre-Luc DuboisLW
Rasmus SandinDInjured Reserve
Vincent DesharnaisDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Capitals count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs DAL
Kyrou didn't play the Jan 7 meeting; points the last time Kyrou faced them: 2 (Feb 4)
Over 0.5 hit in 5 of 8 games against DAL on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −107
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −131
Research, not a pick. At −104 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −131, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1077 books | +1002 books | 7/10 | |
| +4406 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +13932 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 min ago | −104Best | — |
| Bovada3 min ago | −106 | — |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −107 | — |
| betPARX1 min ago | −107 | — |
| BetRivers1 min ago | −107 | — |
| Pinnacle3 min ago | −125 | −106 |
| DraftKings12 min ago | −140 | +105Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:55 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.52.5 → 0.5 since first seen


