Jordan Kyrou

Washington Capitals · RW · #25

DAL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1746 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs forwards
DAL allow 16.0 shots on goal a game to forwards: the fewest of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 15.8, the fewest
Teammate out
Rasmus Sandin: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 6 of 13; with him: no games (13 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Vincent Desharnais: Injured Reserve (abdomen)
Over 1.5 without him: 3 of 4; with him: 3 of 9 (13 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Jake Oettinger (Confirmed)
Saves: 191 of 207 (.923) over his last 10 games · 8 of DAL's last 10 starts

50%5 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 8 at home).

vs NYR, 2026-10-09: 0, missed, 12.1 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-11: 1, missed, 15.8 min
at CAR, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 10.8 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-14: 3, cleared, 15.3 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 15.1 min
vs LA, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 14.8 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 16.9 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-28: 3, cleared, 15.6 min
at NSH, 2026-10-29: 4, cleared, 14.5 min
vs MIN, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 14.9 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 shots on goal.

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DAL in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 6 of 8 against DAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Jack St. IvanyD
Alex TuchRW
Pierre-Luc DuboisLW
Rasmus SandinDInjured Reserve
Vincent DesharnaisDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Capitals count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DAL

Kyrou didn't play the Jan 7 meeting; shots on goal the last time Kyrou faced them: 4 (Feb 4)

Over 1.5 hit in 6 of 8 games against DAL on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −174
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −130

Research, not a pick. At −159 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −130, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−13003 books	—	8/10
−1746 books	+1153 books	5/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	4/10
+1484 books	−1962 books	4/10
+3753 books	—	1/10
+9001 book	—	0/10
+20001 book	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet5 min ago	−159Best	+115
betPARX3 min ago	−159Best	+115
BetRivers2 min ago	−159Best	—
DraftKings9 min ago	−190	+140Best
Bovada5 min ago	−205	—
FanDuel2 min ago	−215	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:46 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

2.5 → 1.5 since first seen

Jordan Kyrou's full game log and splits