Joel Farabee

Calgary Flames · LW · #86

CGY @ SEA · Live

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1253 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at ANA, 2026-10-13: 2, missed, 20.4 min
at VGK, 2026-10-15: 3, cleared, 20.4 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-18: 2, missed, 19.8 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 18.9 min
vs DET, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 18.9 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-26: 2, missed, 24.1 min
at EDM, 2026-10-28: 3, cleared, 16.8 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 15.3 min
at COL, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 17.6 min
at SJ, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 20.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different yesterday

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayOpposing goalie
Joey Daccord (Confirmed)
Saves: 242 of 275 (.880) over his last 10 games · 3 of SEA's last 10 starts · Philipp Grubauer started 7
YesterdayDefense vs forwards
SEA allow 22.2 shots on goal a game to forwards: 3rd most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 23.0, 4th most
Teammate out
Jonathan Huberdeau: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 2.5 without him: 12 of 42; with him: 12 of 50 (92 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Connor Zary: Out (knee)
Over 2.5 without him: 6 of 21; with him: 19 of 76 (97 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Matt CoronatoRW
Matvei GridinRW
Morgan FrostC
Jonathan HuberdeauLWInjured Reserve
Connor ZaryCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Flames count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SEA

Shots on Goal: 1 in 15.3 min, Oct 30 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 2 of 10 games against SEA on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 44%; at +125
Books’ fair: 41%; margin removed
Time on ice: 19.2; 10 games · 16.9 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 41%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−10001 book	—	10/10
−2201 book	—	7/10
+1253 books	−1773 books	4/10
+3201 book	—	0/10
+7501 book	—	0/10
+17001 book	—	0/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Pinnacle17 hr ago	+136Best	−182
Bally Bet17 hr ago	+125	−177
DraftKings17 hr ago	+125	−175Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: +144 → +125 since first seen

Joel Farabee's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:13 PM ET.