Joel Farabee

Calgary Flames · LW · #86

CGY @ SEA · Tomorrow 10:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +2455 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs forwards
SEA allow 3.43 goals a game to forwards: 2nd most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 3.70, 3rd most
Teammate out
Jonathan Huberdeau: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 12 of 42; with him: 11 of 50 (92 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Connor Zary: Out (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 8 of 21; with him: 15 of 76 (97 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Philipp Grubauer (Expected)
Saves: 217 of 246 (.882) over his last 10 games · 7 of SEA's last 10 starts

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

at ANA, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 20.4 min
at VGK, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 20.4 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 19.8 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 18.9 min
vs DET, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 18.9 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-26: 1, cleared, 24.1 min
at EDM, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 16.8 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-30: 1, cleared, 15.3 min
at COL, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 17.6 min
at SJ, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 20.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Matt CoronatoRW
Matvei GridinRW
Morgan FrostC
Jonathan HuberdeauLWInjured Reserve
Connor ZaryCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Flames count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SEA

Goals: 1 in 15.3 min, Oct 30 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 10 games against SEA on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 29%; at +245
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Time on ice: 19.2; 10 games · 16.9 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+2455 books	—	5/10
+14005 books	—	0/10
+110005 books	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet7 min ago	+245Best	—
betPARX8 min ago	+245Best	—
BetRivers5 min ago	+245Best	—
Bovada6 min ago	+240	—
FanDuel5 min ago	+240	—

Prices as of 6:29 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +240 → +245 since first seen

Joel Farabee's full game log and splits