Joel Eriksson Ek

Minnesota Wild · C · #14

MIN @ PHI · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1503 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different yesterday

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Brock Faber: Injured Reserve (skull)
Over 2.5 without him: 11 of 16; with him: 44 of 76 (92 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Nick Foligno: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 2.5 without him: 11 of 15; with him: 14 of 20 (35 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dan Vladar started PHI's last game
Saves: 265 of 298 (.889) over his last 10 games · 5 of PHI's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs forwards
PHI allow 21.8 shots on goal a game to forwards: 5th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 19.5, 18th most

70%7 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (6 of 7 on the road).

at WPG, 2026-10-13: 3, cleared, 18.3 min
vs STL, 2026-10-15: 3, cleared, 23.2 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-18: 2, missed, 21.3 min
at EDM, 2026-10-20: 8, cleared, 22.8 min
at CGY, 2026-10-22: 3, cleared, 23.2 min
at SEA, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 15.1 min
at VAN, 2026-10-25: 5, cleared, 20.2 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-27: 4, cleared, 21.4 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-29: 2, missed, 17.2 min
at WSH, 2026-11-01: 3, cleared, 19.6 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Kirill KaprizovLW
Quinn HughesD
Matt BoldyLW
Brock FaberDInjured Reserve
Nick FolignoLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Wild count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Shots on Goal: 5 in 22.8 min, Mar 12 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against PHI on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 3.5; +1 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −150
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Time on ice: 20.2; 10 games · 19.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 56%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−25001 book	—	10/10
−4501 book	—	10/10
−1503 books	+1083 books	7/10
+1451 book	—	3/10
+3101 book	—	2/10
+6501 book	—	1/10
+14001 book	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Pinnacle8 hr ago	−143Best	+108
Bally Bet8 hr ago	−150	+108
DraftKings8 hr ago	−160	+115Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over −132 → −150 since first seen

Joel Eriksson Ek's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.