Joel Eriksson Ek

Minnesota Wild · C · #14

TB @ MIN · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −1906 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 at home).

vs CBJ, 2026-10-18: 1, missed, 21.3 min
at EDM, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 22.8 min
at CGY, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 23.2 min
at SEA, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 15.1 min
at VAN, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 20.2 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 21.4 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 17.2 min
at WSH, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 19.6 min
at PHI, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 19.3 min
vs SJ, 2026-11-06: 1, missed, 18.9 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayRest · back-to-back
Wild played the day before (vs SJ): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Brock Faber: Injured Reserve (skull)
Under 0.5 without him: 10 of 18; with him: 48 of 76 (94 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Nick Foligno: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 8 of 17; with him: 13 of 20 (37 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)
Saves: 216 of 244 (.885) over his last 10 games · 8 of TB's last 10 starts

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TB in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 7 of 7 against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Kirill KaprizovLW
Quinn HughesD
Matt BoldyLW
Brock FaberDInjured Reserve
Nick FolignoLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wild count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TB

Assists: 0 in 21.3 min, Oct 8 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 7 of 7 games against TB on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 66%; at −190
Books’ fair: 61%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −139

Research, not a pick. At −182 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −139, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1386 books	−1902 books	5/10
+6302 books	—	9/10
+22001 book	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle5 min ago	+135	−182Best
DraftKings5 min ago	+140Best	−190
Bally Bet5 min ago	+138	—
betPARX4 min ago	+138	—
BetRivers5 min ago	+138	—
FanDuel4 min ago	+116	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Joel Eriksson Ek's full game log and splits