Joel Eriksson Ek
SJ @ MIN · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Under 0.5
50%5 of 10L10
Under 0.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.
What's different today
Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Brock Faber: Injured Reserve (skull)
Under 0.5 without him: 10 of 17; with him: 48 of 76 (93 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Nick Foligno: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 8 of 16; with him: 13 of 20 (36 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Yaroslav Askarov (Expected)
Saves: 259 of 292 (.887) over his last 10 games · 6 of SJ's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
SJ allow 4.18 assists a game to forwards: 7th most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 4.20, 7th most
Splits
Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against SJ in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 7 of 9 against SJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 0.5 · L10Kirill KaprizovLW
Quinn HughesD
Matt BoldyLW
Brock FaberDInjured Reserve
Nick FolignoLWInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wild count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs SJ
Assists: 0 in 20.3 min, Dec 31, 2025 (away)
Under 0.5 hit in 7 of 9 games against SJ on record
L10 · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.7
- +0.2 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 65%
- at −185
- Books’ fair
- 60%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −148
Research, not a pick. At −185 the price is worse than our fair −148, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1086 books | −1851 book | 5/10 | |
| +7503 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +25002 books | — | 10/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings11 min ago | +135Best | −185Best |
| Bally Bet11 min ago | −108 | — |
| betPARX6 min ago | −108 | — |
| BetRivers6 min ago | −108 | — |
| Bovada11 min ago | +128 | — |
| FanDuel6 min ago | +126 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.