JJ Moser

Tampa Bay Lightning · D · #90

DET @ TB · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Assists, typical price +4001 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayDefense vs defensemen
DET allow 1.07 assists a game to defensemen: 30th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 0.90, 31st most
Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 0 of 13; with him: 21 of 86 (99 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zemgus Girgensons: Out (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 0 of 3; with him: 20 of 91 (94 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Daniil Tarasov started DET's last game
Saves: 216 of 237 (.911) over his last 10 games · 3 of DET's last 10 starts · John Gibson started 6 · no probable starter posted yet

0%0 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 0 of his last 10 games (0 of 4 at home).

vs MIN, 2026-10-08: 0, missed, 13.4 min
at NYI, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 17 min
at NYR, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 19.8 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 22.9 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 20.1 min
at VGK, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 17.1 min
at COL, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 15.3 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 20 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 18.5 min
at NSH, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 22.3 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 5 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Brandon HagelLW
Nikita KucherovRW
Jake GuentzelC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve
Zemgus GirgensonsCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Assists: 1 in 22.2 min, Apr 13 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0; −0.5 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 0%; 0 of 10
Price implies: 20%; at +400
Books’ fair: 19%; margin removed
Time on ice: 18.6; 10 games · 21.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 19%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+4001 book	−6001 book	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings10 hr ago	+400Best	−600Best

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +275 → +400 since first seen

JJ Moser's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.