JJ Moser

Tampa Bay Lightning · D · #90

DET @ TB · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1551 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 1.5 without him: 5 of 13; with him: 35 of 86 (99 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zemgus Girgensons: Out (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 1 of 3; with him: 36 of 91 (94 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Daniil Tarasov started DET's last game
Saves: 216 of 237 (.911) over his last 10 games · 3 of DET's last 10 starts · John Gibson started 6 · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs defensemen
DET allow 7.2 shots on goal a game to defensemen: 22nd most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 6.7, 25th most

40%4 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

vs MIN, 2026-10-08: 0, missed, 13.4 min
at NYI, 2026-10-10: 1, missed, 17 min
at NYR, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 19.8 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 2, cleared, 22.9 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 20.1 min
at VGK, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 17.1 min
at COL, 2026-10-23: 2, cleared, 15.3 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 20 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 18.5 min
at NSH, 2026-10-31: 2, cleared, 22.3 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Brandon HagelLW
Nikita KucherovRW
Jake GuentzelC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve
Zemgus GirgensonsCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Shots on Goal: 2 in 22.2 min, Apr 13 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 39%; at +155
Books’ fair: 37%; margin removed
Time on ice: 18.6; 10 games · 21.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 37%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2801 book	—	8/10
+1551 book	−2101 book	4/10
+5001 book	—	0/10
+16001 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings2 hr ago	+155Best	−210Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over −105 → +155 since first seen

JJ Moser's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.