Jimmy Snuggerud
STL @ NSH · Today 1:00 PMGame log against Under 2.5
70%7 of 10L10
Under 2.5 Shots on Goal hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.
What's different today
Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Logan Mailloux: Injured Reserve (hand)
Under 2.5 without him: 20 of 31; with him: 32 of 55 (86 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Tyler Tucker: Injured Reserve (knee)
Under 2.5 without him: 16 of 27; with him: 36 of 59 (86 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Juuse Saros (Expected)
Saves: 280 of 308 (.909) over his last 10 games · 6 of NSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NSH allow 20.9 shots on goal a game to forwards: 9th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 20.7, 12th most
Splits
Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 2.5 · L10Robert ThomasC
Dylan HollowayLW
Mason McTavishC
Logan MaillouxDInjured Reserve
Tyler TuckerDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Blues count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NSH
Shots on Goal: 3 in 19.7 min, Oct 17 (away)
Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against NSH on record
L10 · Under 2.5
- Average
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −144
- Books’ fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −155
Research, not a pick. At −135 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −155, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −20002 books | — | 0/10 | |
| −2802 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +1056 books | −1445 books | 7/10 | |
| +2402 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +5502 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +12001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings7 min ago | +100 | −135Best |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +108 | −140 |
| Pinnacle7 min ago | +110Best | −144 |
| Bally Bet7 min ago | +105 | −148 |
| betPARX2 min ago | +105 | −148 |
| BetRivers1 min ago | +105 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:59 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Under isn't priced at 2.5 right now.


