Jesper Bratt

New Jersey Devils · LW · #63

STL @ NJ · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1802 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at DET, 2026-10-13: 3, cleared, 20.3 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 15.8 min
at WSH, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 18.8 min
vs COL, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 13.8 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-22: 2, cleared, 15.5 min
vs LA, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 17.3 min
at DAL, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 16.6 min
at COL, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 16.8 min
at VGK, 2026-10-30: 1, cleared, 15.6 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-03: 1, cleared, 20.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Opposing goalie
Joel Hofer (Expected)
Saves: 266 of 292 (.911) over his last 10 games · 8 of STL's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
STL allow 6.40 points a game to forwards: 15th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 6.30, 15th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 17.3 min · 2026–27: 17.4 (15 games)
Power play: 3.5 min last 5 · 3.4 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 3 vs EDM

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against STL in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against STL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Jack HughesC
Arseny GritsyukRW
Nico HischierC

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Devils count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs STL

Points: 1 in 17.8 min, Feb 28 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against STL on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −180
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −141

Research, not a pick. At −170 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −141, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1802 books	+1251 book	6/10
+2702 books	—	2/10
+10002 books	—	1/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings16 min ago	−170Best	+125Best
FanDuel3 min ago	−180	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−188 → −180 since first seen

Jesper Bratt's full game log and splits