Jesper Bratt

New Jersey Devils · LW · #63

STL @ NJ · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1864 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at DET, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 20.3 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 15.8 min
at WSH, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 18.8 min
vs COL, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 13.8 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-22: 2, cleared, 15.5 min
vs LA, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 17.3 min
at DAL, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 16.6 min
at COL, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 16.8 min
at VGK, 2026-10-30: 0, missed, 15.6 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-03: 4, cleared, 20.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Opposing goalie
Joel Hofer (Expected)
Saves: 266 of 292 (.911) over his last 10 games · 8 of STL's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
STL allow 19.9 shots on goal a game to forwards: 19th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 20.3, 15th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 17.3 min · 2026–27: 17.4 (15 games)
Power play: 3.5 min last 5 · 3.4 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 3 vs EDM

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against STL in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against STL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Jack HughesC
Arseny GritsyukRW
Nico HischierC

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Devils count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs STL

Shots on Goal: 2 in 17.8 min, Feb 28 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against STL on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 65%; at −186
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −163

Research, not a pick. At −186 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −163, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−10001 book	—	6/10
−1864 books	+1302 books	6/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	2/10
+1252 books	−1952 books	2/10
+3101 book	—	1/10
+7501 book	—	0/10
+17001 book	—	0/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet2 min ago	−186Best	+130Best
betPARX1 min ago	−186Best	+130Best
BetRivers3 min ago	−186Best	—
DraftKings2 min ago	−220	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:00 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

−190 → −186 since first seen

Jesper Bratt's full game log and splits