Jamie Drysdale
PHI @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM
Game log against Under 1.5
50%5 of 10L10
Under 1.5 Shots on Goal hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 3 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 shots on goal.
What's different today
Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Rasmus Ristolainen: Injured Reserve (hand)
Under 1.5 without him: 10 of 19; with him: 35 of 55 (74 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dylan Garand (Confirmed)
Saves: 225 of 251 (.896) over his last 10 games · 9 of NYR's last 10 starts
Defense vs defensemen
NYR allow 8.0 shots on goal a game to defensemen: 7th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 8.7, 5th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 24.5 min · 2026–27: 23 (17 games)
Power play: 3.9 min last 5 · 3.1 2026–27
Splits
Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NYR in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 4 of 8 against NYR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 1.5 · L10Trevor ZegrasC
Matvei MichkovRW
Oliver BonkD
Rasmus RistolainenDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Flyers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NYR
Shots on Goal: 3 in 21.7 min, Mar 9 (home)
Under 1.5 hit in 4 of 8 games against NYR on record
L10 · Under 1.5
- Average
- 1.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 1.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 60%
- at −150
- Books’ fair
- 57%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −135
Research, not a pick. At −148 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −135, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3501 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +1046 books | −1505 books | 5/10 | |
| +3701 book | — | 9/10 | |
| +10001 book | — | 9/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet5 min ago | +104 | −148Best |
| betPARX4 min ago | +104 | −148Best |
| Bovada9 min ago | +115 | −150 |
| DraftKings5 min ago | +120 | −160 |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | +130Best | −174 |
| BetRivers3 min ago | +104 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:20 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Under: −155 → −150 since first seen