Jamie Drysdale

Philadelphia Flyers · D · #9

PHI @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1551 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 1.5 Shots on Goal hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 3 on the road).

vs SEA, 2026-10-13: 2, missed, 23.5 min
at DET, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 22.1 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-17: 2, missed, 21.8 min
vs COL, 2026-10-19: 4, missed, 22.9 min
at BUF, 2026-10-21: 1, hit, 24.6 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 24.1 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-27: 2, missed, 26.8 min
at WSH, 2026-10-28: 1, hit, 23.4 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 21.4 min
vs MIN, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 26.8 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 shots on goal.

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
James Reimer (Expected)
Saves: 157 of 178 (.882) over his last 10 games · 0 of NYR's last 10 starts · Dylan Garand started 9
Teammate out
Rasmus Ristolainen: Injured Reserve (hand)
Under 1.5 without him: 10 of 19; with him: 35 of 55 (74 games as teammates)
Defense vs defensemen
NYR allow 8.0 shots on goal a game to defensemen: 7th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 8.7, 5th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 24.5 min · 2026–27: 23 (17 games)
Power play: 3.9 min last 5 · 3.1 2026–27

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYR in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 4 of 8 against NYR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Trevor ZegrasC
Matvei MichkovRW
Oliver BonkD
Rasmus RistolainenDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Flyers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NYR

Shots on Goal: 3 in 21.7 min, Mar 9 (home)

Under 1.5 hit in 4 of 8 games against NYR on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −155
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −134

Research, not a pick. At −155 the price is worse than our fair −134, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1151 book	−1551 book	5/10
	+10001 book	—	9/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings3 min ago	+115Best	−155Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under: No move since first seen

Jamie Drysdale's full game log and splits