Jake Guentzel

Tampa Bay Lightning · C · #59

CHI @ TB · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +1107 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

at NYI, 2026-10-10: 2, cleared, 19.5 min
at NYR, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 18.7 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 19.4 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 19.1 min
at VGK, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 18.3 min
at COL, 2026-10-23: 2, cleared, 22.2 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 19.5 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 22.9 min
at NSH, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 25.9 min
vs DET, 2026-11-03: 0, missed, 19.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Arvid Soderblom (Expected)
Saves: 268 of 307 (.873) over his last 10 games · 1 of CHI's last 10 starts · Spencer Knight started 9
TodayDefense vs forwards
CHI allow 3.44 goals a game to forwards: 2nd most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 3.10, 6th most
Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 14; with him: 34 of 88 (102 games as teammates)
Time on ice
Last 5: 22 min · 2026–27: 20.7 (14 games)
Power play: 5.4 min last 5 · 4.9 2026–27

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CHI in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 5 against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Nikita KucherovRW
Brandon HagelLW
Brayden PointC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHI

Goals: 0 in 22.4 min, Jan 23 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against CHI on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 48%; at +110
Books’ fair: 46%; margin removed
Time on ice: 20.5; 10 games · 20.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 46%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1107 books	−1392 books	5/10
+6006 books	—	2/10
+25006 books	—	0/10
+100003 books	—	0/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet2 min ago	+125Best	—
betPARX1 min ago	+125Best	—
BetRivers1 min ago	+125Best	—
DraftKings2 min ago	+110	—
Bovada7 min ago	+106	—
Pinnacle2 min ago	+105	−139
FanDuel2 min ago	+100	−135Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:40 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +100 → +110 since first seen

Jake Guentzel's full game log and splits