Jackson Blake

Carolina Hurricanes · RW · #53

CAR @ NSH · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1516 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Taylor Hall: Out (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 9; with him: 61 of 117 (126 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Staal: Injured Reserve (calf)
Over 0.5 without him: 10 of 17; with him: 57 of 109 (126 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Juuse Saros (Confirmed)
Saves: 278 of 308 (.903) over his last 10 games · 7 of NSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NSH allow 6.29 points a game to forwards: 19th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 6.40, 17th most

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

at PHI, 2026-10-11: 0, missed, 20.4 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 18.3 min
at WPG, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 20.2 min
at CGY, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 16.9 min
at VAN, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 20.5 min
at EDM, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 17.6 min
at STL, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 17.2 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 16.8 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 16.8 min
vs WPG, 2026-11-01: 1, cleared, 15 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NSH in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against NSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Sebastian AhoC
Nikolaj EhlersLW
Andrei SvechnikovLW
Taylor HallLWOut
Jordan StaalCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Hurricanes count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NSH

Points: 2 in 16.5 min, Dec 17, 2025 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against NSH on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −151
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −164

Research, not a pick. At −148 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −164, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1516 books	+1172 books	7/10
+3205 books	—	1/10
+11002 books	—	1/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	−148Best	—
betPARXjust now	−148Best	—
BetRivers1 min ago	−148Best	—
Pinnacle3 min ago	−155	+115
DraftKings3 min ago	−165	+120Best
FanDuel1 min ago	−170	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:24 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over −172 → −151 since first seen

Jackson Blake's full game log and splits