Jack Quinn

Buffalo Sabres · RW · #22

OTT @ BUF · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1622 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Konsta Helenius: Out (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 16 of 38; with him: 16 of 24 (62 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Conor Timmins: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 31 of 57; with him: 20 of 52 (109 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Samuel Ersson (Expected)
Saves: 177 of 204 (.868) over his last 10 games · 4 of OTT's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
OTT allow 6.38 points a game to forwards: 16th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 7.60, 7th most

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 at home).

vs UTAH, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 20.3 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-12: 2, cleared, 17.6 min
at MTL, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 19 min
at TOR, 2026-10-15: 4, cleared, 18.1 min
at MTL, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 21.5 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-21: 1, cleared, 20.8 min
at WSH, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 17.4 min
at SJ, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 19.5 min
at ANA, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 18.5 min
at LA, 2026-10-31: 2, cleared, 17.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against OTT in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 4 of 8 against OTT on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Tage ThompsonC
Rasmus DahlinD
Zach BensonLW
Konsta HeleniusCOut
Conor TimminsDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Sabres count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs OTT

Points: 0 in 15.2 min, Apr 2 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 8 games against OTT on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −162
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −154

Research, not a pick. At −160 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −154, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1622 books	+1201 book	7/10
+2952 books	—	3/10
+10602 books	—	1/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings3 min ago	−160Best	+120Best
FanDuel3 min ago	−162	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:34 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−166 → −162 since first seen

Jack Quinn's full game log and splits