Jack Quinn

Buffalo Sabres · RW · #22

OTT @ BUF · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1082 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Konsta Helenius: Out (upper body)
Over 2.5 without him: 15 of 38; with him: 13 of 24 (62 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Conor Timmins: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 2.5 without him: 26 of 57; with him: 16 of 52 (109 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Samuel Ersson (Expected)
Saves: 177 of 204 (.868) over his last 10 games · 4 of OTT's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
OTT allow 20.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: 16th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 21.1, 8th most

60%6 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 at home).

vs UTAH, 2026-10-10: 2, missed, 20.3 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-12: 1, missed, 17.6 min
at MTL, 2026-10-13: 3, cleared, 19 min
at TOR, 2026-10-15: 4, cleared, 18.1 min
at MTL, 2026-10-17: 2, missed, 21.5 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-21: 4, cleared, 20.8 min
at WSH, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 17.4 min
at SJ, 2026-10-27: 3, cleared, 19.5 min
at ANA, 2026-10-29: 4, cleared, 18.5 min
at LA, 2026-10-31: 2, missed, 17.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against OTT in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 3 of 8 against OTT on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Tage ThompsonC
Rasmus DahlinD
Zach BensonLW
Konsta HeleniusCOut
Conor TimminsDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Sabres count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs OTT

Shots on Goal: 2 in 15.2 min, Apr 2 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 8 games against OTT on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 48%; at +108
Books’ fair: 45%; margin removed
Time on ice: 19; 10 games · 15.8 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 45%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−20001 book	—	10/10
−2801 book	—	9/10
+1082 books	−1402 books	6/10
+2651 book	—	3/10
+6001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel4 min ago	+108Best	−140Best
Pinnacle9 min ago	+108Best	−140Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over +114 → +108 since first seen

Jack Quinn's full game log and splits