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Gabriel Vilardi

Winnipeg Jets · C · #13

WPG @ MTL · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Under 0.5 Points, typical price −1202 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 0.5

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).

  1. vs MIN, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 18.9 min
  2. at CHI, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 16.5 min
  3. vs CAR, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 18.8 min
  4. at STL, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 17.8 min
  5. at DAL, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 19.7 min
  6. vs MTL, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 18.5 min
  7. vs FLA, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 14.2 min
  8. at TB, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 19.1 min
  9. at FLA, 2026-10-30: 0, hit, 20.1 min
  10. at CAR, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 17 min
Under hitMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 points.

Count only

Under 0.5 · L10

Matchup · 14 games

MTL allow 5.93 points a game to forwards: 21st most of 32

Rest

1 day off since Nov 1 at CAR

Last vs MTL

Points: 1 in 18.5 min, Oct 25 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 0 of 5 games against MTL on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average
0.4
−0.1 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
55%
at −120
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
57%
estimate · fair −134

Research, not a pick. At −120 the price beats our fair −134, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1202 books−1201 book6/10
+4352 books—10/10
+14001 book—10/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
DraftKings8 min ago−115Best−120Best
FanDuel6 min ago−125—
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:52 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Gabriel Vilardi's full game log and splits