Evan Bouchard

Edmonton Oilers · D · #2

EDM @ NJ · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −2007 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightOpposing goalie
Connor Hellebuyck (Confirmed)
Saves: 197 of 224 (.879) over his last 10 games · 2 of NJ's last 10 starts · Jake Allen started 5
Teammate out
Matt Savoie: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 13 of 15; with him: 60 of 88 (103 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zach Hyman: Injured Reserve (neck)
Over 0.5 without him: 26 of 40; with him: 57 of 79 (119 games as teammates)
Defense vs defensemen
NJ allow 2.43 points a game to defensemen: 9th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 2.30, 12th most

90%9 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).

at LA, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 26.4 min
vs UTAH, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 27.1 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 24.1 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 28.3 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 30 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 26.2 min
vs DET, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 32 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-28: 1, cleared, 22.2 min
at NYI, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 22 min
at NYR, 2026-11-01: 3, cleared, 25.7 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 points.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NJ in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against NJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Connor McDavidC
Leon DraisaitlC
Vasily PodkolzinRW
Matt SavoieCInjured Reserve
Zach HymanLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Oilers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NJ

Points: 0 in 26.8 min, Jan 20 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against NJ on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.4; +0.9 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 67%; at −200
Books’ fair: 63%; margin removed
Our chance: 69%; estimate · fair −218

Research, not a pick. At −200 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −218, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2007 books	+1502 books	9/10
+2406 books	—	4/10
+7006 books	—	1/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet8 min ago	−200Best	—
betPARX6 min ago	−200Best	—
BetRivers5 min ago	−200Best	—
Bovada8 min ago	−200Best	—
DraftKings16 min ago	−200Best	+150Best
FanDuel6 min ago	−200Best	—
Pinnacle8 min ago	−205	+150Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:40 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over −210 → −200 since first seen

Evan Bouchard's full game log and splits