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Evan Bouchard
EDM @ NJ · Today 7:30 PM
Game log against Over 0.5
90%9 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 assists.
Count only
Over 0.5 · L10Matchup · 14 games
NJ allow 2.14 assists a game to defensemen: 3rd most of 32
Rest
1 day off since Nov 1 at NYR
Last vs NJ
Assists: 0 in 26.8 min, Jan 20 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against NJ on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1.2
- +0.7 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 90%
- 9 of 10
- Price implies
- 58%
- at −139
- Books’ fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 63%
- estimate · fair −170
Research, not a pick. At −136 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −170, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1392 books | +1081 book | 9/10 | |
| +3901 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +13001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 min ago | −136Best | — |
| Pinnacle1 min ago | −143 | +108Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:48 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over −132 → −139 since first seen