Dylan Holloway

St. Louis Blues · LW · #81

STL @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1517 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Logan Mailloux: Injured Reserve (hand)
Under 2.5 without him: 20 of 27; with him: 19 of 46 (73 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Tyler Tucker: Injured Reserve (knee)
Under 2.5 without him: 14 of 26; with him: 25 of 47 (73 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dylan Garand (Confirmed)
Saves: 204 of 230 (.887) over his last 10 games · 9 of NYR's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NYR allow 18.5 shots on goal a game to forwards: 23rd most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 19.3, 19th most

60%6 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Shots on Goal hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).

vs CBJ, 2026-10-10: 3, missed, 16.6 min
at OTT, 2026-10-13: 1, hit, 16 min
at MIN, 2026-10-15: 2, hit, 23.3 min
at NSH, 2026-10-17: 2, hit, 19.6 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-20: 1, hit, 17.4 min
vs VGK, 2026-10-22: 3, missed, 18.7 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-24: 4, missed, 17.1 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-27: 5, missed, 18.4 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 15.4 min
at DET, 2026-10-31: 1, hit, 16.9 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 shots on goal.

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYR in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 3 against NYR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Jimmy SnuggerudRW
Robert ThomasC
Philip BrobergD
Logan MaillouxDInjured Reserve
Tyler TuckerDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Blues count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NYR

Holloway didn't play the Dec 18, 2025 meeting; shots on goal the last time Holloway faced them: 1 (Nov 24, 2025)

Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against NYR on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 2.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −151
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −148

Research, not a pick. At −145 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −148, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−16003 books	—	1/10
−2603 books	—	4/10
+1107 books	−1516 books	6/10
+3203 books	—	8/10
+6242 books	—	9/10
+14001 book	—	10/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bovada7 min ago	+110	−145Best
DraftKings12 min ago	+110	−150
Pinnacle8 min ago	+114	−151
Bally Bet7 min ago	+108	−152
betPARX1 min ago	+108	−152
FanDuel1 min ago	+125Best	−164
BetRivers2 min ago	+108	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:38 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under isn't priced at 2.5 right now.

Dylan Holloway's full game log and splits