Dylan Holloway

St. Louis Blues · LW · #81

STL @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −2726 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Logan Mailloux: Injured Reserve (hand)
Under 0.5 without him: 17 of 27; with him: 27 of 46 (73 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Tyler Tucker: Injured Reserve (knee)
Under 0.5 without him: 13 of 26; with him: 31 of 47 (73 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dylan Garand (Expected)
Saves: 204 of 230 (.887) over his last 10 games · 9 of NYR's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NYR allow 3.40 assists a game to forwards: 21st most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 4.10, 10th most

30%3 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

vs CBJ, 2026-10-10: 3, missed, 16.6 min
at OTT, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 16 min
at MIN, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 23.3 min
at NSH, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 19.6 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 17.4 min
vs VGK, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 18.7 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 17.1 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 18.4 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 15.4 min
at DET, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 16.9 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 assists.

Count only

Under 0.5 · L10

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Jimmy SnuggerudRW
Robert ThomasC
Philip BrobergD
Logan MaillouxDInjured Reserve
Tyler TuckerDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Blues count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NYR

Holloway didn't play the Dec 18, 2025 meeting; assists the last time Holloway faced them: 0 (Nov 24, 2025)

Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against NYR on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 73%; at −272
Books’ fair: 68%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −150

Research, not a pick. At −269 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −150, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1776 books	−2722 books	3/10
	+11482 books	—	9/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle11 min ago	+194	−269Best
DraftKings11 min ago	+200Best	−275
Bally Bet11 min ago	+165	—
betPARX6 min ago	+165	—
BetRivers7 min ago	+165	—
FanDuel6 min ago	+190	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:35 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Dylan Holloway's full game log and splits