Dougie Hamilton

New Jersey Devils · D · #7

STL @ NJ · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −2051 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

at DET, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 20.5 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-15: 2, missed, 19.7 min
at WSH, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 21.9 min
vs COL, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 21 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 21.2 min
vs LA, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 19 min
at DAL, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 19.8 min
at COL, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 17.4 min
at VGK, 2026-10-30: 0, hit, 17.9 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-03: 1, missed, 22.9 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 points.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Opposing goalie
Joel Hofer (Expected)
Saves: 266 of 292 (.911) over his last 10 games · 8 of STL's last 10 starts
Defense vs defensemen
STL allow 1.73 points a game to defensemen: 26th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 1.50, 31st most
Time on ice
Last 5: 19.4 min · 2026–27: 20.6 (15 games)
Power play: 1.3 min last 5 · 1.5 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 3 vs EDM

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against STL in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 against STL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Jack HughesC
Jesper BrattLW
Arseny GritsyukRW

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Devils count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs STL

Points: 1 in 20.5 min, Feb 28 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against STL on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 67%; at −205
Books’ fair: 63%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −157

Research, not a pick. At −205 the price is worse than our fair −157, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1501 book	−2051 book	6/10
	+8501 book	—	9/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings3 min ago	+150Best	−205Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under: No move since first seen

Dougie Hamilton's full game log and splits