Dougie Hamilton
STL @ NJ · LiveGame log against Under 0.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.
What's different today
Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayOpposing goalie
Jordan Binnington (Confirmed)
Saves: 199 of 230 (.865) over his last 10 games · 2 of STL's last 10 starts · Joel Hofer started 8
Defense vs defensemen
STL allow 1.33 assists a game to defensemen: 27th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 1.30, 25th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 19.4 min · 2026–27: 20.6 (15 games)
Power play: 1.3 min last 5 · 1.5 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 3 vs EDM
Splits
Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against STL in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 against STL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 0.5 · L10Jack HughesC
Jesper BrattLW
Arseny GritsyukRW
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Devils count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs STL
Assists: 0 in 20.5 min, Feb 28 (away)
Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against STL on record
L10 · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 75%
- at −296
- Books’ fair
- 70%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 67%
- estimate · fair −207
Research, not a pick. At −285 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −207, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +2053 books | −2962 books | 6/10 | |
| +13001 book | — | 9/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings58 min ago | +205 | −285Best |
| Pinnacle58 min ago | +210Best | −296 |
| Bally Bet58 min ago | +175 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under: −295 → −296 since first seen
This page last updated 7:10 PM ET.


