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Dawson Mercer

Winnipeg Jets · C · #91

VAN @ WPG · Thu, Nov 5 8:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Assists, typical price +2301 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 0.5

33%2 of 6L20 · Without Morrissey

Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 2 of 6 games without Josh Morrissey (his last 20 games).

  1. vs PIT, 2026-04-09: 0, missed, 17.4 min (not counted)
  2. at DET, 2026-04-11: 0, missed, 21 min (not counted)
  3. vs OTT, 2026-04-12: 1, cleared, 18.9 min (not counted)
  4. at BOS, 2026-04-14: 0, missed, 16.4 min (not counted)
  5. vs PHI, 2026-10-01: 0, missed, 16.1 min (not counted)
  6. at NYI, 2026-10-03: 0, missed, 15 min (not counted)
  7. vs UTAH, 2026-10-06: 0, missed, 11.1 min (not counted)
  8. vs VAN, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 14.2 min (not counted)
  9. vs OTT, 2026-10-12: 0, missed, 13.8 min (not counted)
  10. at DET, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 17.3 min (not counted)
  11. vs NYR, 2026-10-15: 2, cleared, 15.9 min (not counted)
  12. at WSH, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 17.1 min (not counted)
  13. vs COL, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 16.6 min (not counted)
  14. vs ANA, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 13.9 min (not counted)
  15. vs MTL, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 15.4 min
  16. vs FLA, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 16.1 min
  17. at TB, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 14.6 min
  18. at FLA, 2026-10-30: 1, cleared, 18.2 min
  19. at CAR, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 15.7 min
  20. at MTL, 2026-11-03: 0, missed, 19.7 min
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • YesterdayTeammate out

    Josh Morrissey: Injured Reserve (wrist)

    Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)

  • YesterdayDefense vs forwards

    VAN allow 5.00 assists a game to forwards: the most of 32

    17 games · last 10 games: 4.60, 4th most

  • Teammate out

    Vladislav Namestnikov: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)

    Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)

  • New team

    6 games with WPG; before that, NJ

    Over 0.5 with WPG: 2 of 6; his last 10 games before: 3 of 10

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

  • Kyle ConnorLW

  • Mark ScheifeleC

  • Josh MorrisseyDInjured Reserve

  • Vladislav NamestnikovCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Jets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VAN

Mercer didn't play the Mar 7 meeting; assists the last time Mercer faced them: 0 (Oct 10)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against VAN on record

L20 · Without Morrissey · Over 0.5

Average
0.3
−0.2 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
33%
2 of 6
Price implies
30%
at +230
Books’ fair
28%
margin removed
Time on ice
16.6
6 games · 18.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 28%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Morrissey
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
+2301 book−3201 book2/6
+16001 book—0/6
Compare 1 sportsbook at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
DraftKings10 hr ago+230Best−320Best

Prices as of 7:27 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +190 → +230 since first seen

Dawson Mercer's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:28 PM ET.