Cutter Gauthier

Anaheim Ducks · LW · #61

ANA @ VAN · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −1787 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightOpposing goalie
Kevin Lankinen (Confirmed)
Saves: 220 of 266 (.827) over his last 10 games · 3 of VAN's last 10 starts · Leevi Merilainen started 7
TonightDefense vs forwards
VAN allow 4.94 assists a game to forwards: the most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 4.80, 2nd most
Teammate out
Troy Terry: Injured Reserve (hip)
Under 0.5 without him: 22 of 33; with him: 44 of 68 (101 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Poehling: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 8 of 16; with him: 58 of 85 (101 games as teammates)

70%7 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 on the road).

at WPG, 2026-10-09: 0, hit, 18.3 min
at CGY, 2026-10-10: 0, hit, 2.3 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-16: 1, missed, 21.3 min
at NYR, 2026-10-19: 0, hit, 16.2 min
at NYI, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 17.5 min
at NJ, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 19 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 18.6 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 16.5 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 22.3 min
vs OTT, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 19 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 assists.

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Leo CarlssonC
Beckett SenneckeRW
Jackson LaCombeD
Troy TerryRWInjured Reserve
Ryan PoehlingCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Ducks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VAN

Assists: 1 in 16.5 min, Oct 27 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 6 of 9 games against VAN on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −178
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 63%; estimate · fair −172

Research, not a pick. At −176 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −172, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1207 books	−1782 books	7/10
+6003 books	—	10/10
+18382 books	—	10/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle2 min ago	+131Best	−176Best
DraftKings2 min ago	+130	−180
Bally Bet2 min ago	+120	—
betPARX1 min ago	+120	—
BetRivers1 min ago	+120	—
Bovada2 min ago	+116	—
FanDuel1 min ago	+108	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Cutter Gauthier's full game log and splits