Connor McMichael

St. Louis Blues · LW · #77

STL @ NSH · Today 1:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1324 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Under 1.5 Shots on Goal hit in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 on the road).

at MIN, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 17.4 min
at NSH, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 18.5 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-20: 1, hit, 14.6 min
vs VGK, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 13.2 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-24: 3, missed, 15.4 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-27: 5, missed, 17 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-29: 1, hit, 15.3 min
at DET, 2026-10-31: 1, hit, 17.1 min
at NYR, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 14.4 min
at NJ, 2026-11-05: 0, hit, 13.5 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 shots on goal.

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Logan Mailloux: Injured Reserve (hand)
Under 1.5 without him: 11 of 16; with him: no games (16 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Tyler Tucker: Injured Reserve (knee)
Under 1.5 without him: 11 of 16; with him: no games (16 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Juuse Saros (Expected)
Saves: 280 of 308 (.909) over his last 10 games · 6 of NSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NSH allow 20.9 shots on goal a game to forwards: 9th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 20.7, 12th most

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Jimmy SnuggerudRW
Robert ThomasC
Dylan HollowayLW
Logan MaillouxDInjured Reserve
Tyler TuckerDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Blues count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NSH

Shots on Goal: 0 in 18.5 min, Oct 17 (away)

Under 1.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against NSH on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 0.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −132
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −133

Research, not a pick. At −110 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −133, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5251 book	—	5/10
−1074 books	−1323 books	8/10
+2351 book	—	8/10
+16001 book	—	9/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings3 min ago	−125	−110Best
Bally Bet3 min ago	−107Best	−132
betPARX2 min ago	−107Best	−132
BetRivers2 min ago	−107Best	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:06 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under: −110 → −132 since first seen

Connor McMichael's full game log and splits