Connor McMichael

St. Louis Blues · LW · #77

STL @ NSH · Today 1:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −1705 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

at MIN, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 17.4 min
at NSH, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 18.5 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 14.6 min
vs VGK, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 13.2 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 15.4 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 17 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 15.3 min
at DET, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 17.1 min
at NYR, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 14.4 min
at NJ, 2026-11-05: 1, missed, 13.5 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Logan Mailloux: Injured Reserve (hand)
Under 0.5 without him: 9 of 16; with him: no games (16 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Tyler Tucker: Injured Reserve (knee)
Under 0.5 without him: 9 of 16; with him: no games (16 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Juuse Saros (Expected)
Saves: 280 of 308 (.909) over his last 10 games · 6 of NSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NSH allow 5.94 points a game to forwards: 22nd most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 5.70, 23rd most

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Jimmy SnuggerudRW
Robert ThomasC
Dylan HollowayLW
Logan MaillouxDInjured Reserve
Tyler TuckerDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Blues count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NSH

Points: 0 in 18.5 min, Oct 17 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against NSH on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 63%; at −170
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −140

Research, not a pick. At −170 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −140, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1385 books	−1702 books	7/10
	+6504 books	—	10/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings2 min ago	+125	−170Best
Pinnacle2 min ago	+125	−170Best
Bally Bet2 min ago	+138Best	—
betPARX1 min ago	+138Best	—
BetRivers1 min ago	+138Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under: No move since first seen

Connor McMichael's full game log and splits