Connor McDavid

Edmonton Oilers · C · #97

ANA @ EDM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Points, typical price −1595 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

vs UTAH, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 25.9 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-17: 5, cleared, 19.9 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 25.5 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-22: 5, cleared, 25 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 22.5 min
vs DET, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 26.5 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 18.8 min
at NYI, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 23.3 min
at NYR, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 23.4 min
at NJ, 2026-11-03: 1, missed, 24.3 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 points.

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs forwards
ANA allow 7.93 points a game to forwards: 2nd most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 9.20, the most
Teammate out
Matt Savoie: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 11 of 16; with him: 46 of 88 (104 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zach Hyman: Injured Reserve (neck)
Over 1.5 without him: 20 of 41; with him: 45 of 79 (120 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Lukas Dostal (Expected)
Saves: 226 of 263 (.859) over his last 10 games · 5 of ANA's last 10 starts

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ANA in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 9 of 13 against ANA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Evan BouchardD
Leon DraisaitlC
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC
Matt SavoieCInjured Reserve
Zach HymanLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Oilers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ANA

Points: 3 in 24.5 min, Oct 7 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 9 of 13 games against ANA on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.3; +0.8 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −159
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −137

Research, not a pick. At −142 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −137, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7705 books	—	10/10
−1595 books	+1101 book	6/10
+1885 books	—	3/10
+4754 books	—	2/10
+14001 book	—	2/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel5 min ago	−142Best	—
DraftKings6 min ago	−145	+110Best
Bally Bet6 min ago	−159	—
betPARX7 min ago	−159	—
BetRivers7 min ago	−159	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −162 → −159 since first seen

Connor McDavid's full game log and splits