Connor McDavid

Edmonton Oilers · C · #97

ANA @ EDM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Assists, typical price −2603 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

100%10 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 10 of his last 10 games (6 of 6 at home).

vs UTAH, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 25.9 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 19.9 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 25.5 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-22: 3, cleared, 25 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 22.5 min
vs DET, 2026-10-26: 1, cleared, 26.5 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 18.8 min
at NYI, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 23.3 min
at NYR, 2026-11-01: 1, cleared, 23.4 min
at NJ, 2026-11-03: 1, cleared, 24.3 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 assists.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs forwards
ANA allow 4.60 assists a game to forwards: 3rd most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 5.20, 2nd most
Teammate out
Matt Savoie: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 16 of 16; with him: 56 of 88 (104 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zach Hyman: Injured Reserve (neck)
Over 0.5 without him: 28 of 41; with him: 55 of 79 (120 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Lukas Dostal (Expected)
Saves: 226 of 263 (.859) over his last 10 games · 5 of ANA's last 10 starts

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ANA in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 9 of 13 against ANA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Evan BouchardD
Leon DraisaitlC
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC
Matt SavoieCInjured Reserve
Zach HymanLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Oilers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ANA

Assists: 2 in 24.5 min, Oct 7 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 9 of 13 games against ANA on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.8; +1.3 vs line
Median: 1.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 100%; 10 of 10
Price implies: 72%; at −260
Books’ fair: 69%; margin removed
Our chance: 73%; estimate · fair −274

Research, not a pick. At −240 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −274, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2603 books	+1752 books	10/10
+1752 books	pick'em only	5/10
+6002 books	—	3/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings7 min ago	−240Best	+175
FanDuel2 min ago	−260	—
Pinnacle7 min ago	−330	+231Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:04 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

Connor McDavid's full game log and splits