Connor McDavid
ANA @ EDM · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 0.5
100%10 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 10 of his last 10 games (6 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 assists.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayOpposing goalie
Laurent Brossoit (Confirmed)
Saves: 56 of 68 (.824) over his last 3 games · 2 of ANA's last 10 starts · Lukas Dostal started 5
TodayDefense vs forwards
ANA allow 4.60 assists a game to forwards: 3rd most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 5.20, 2nd most
Teammate out
Matt Savoie: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 16 of 16; with him: 56 of 88 (104 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zach Hyman: Injured Reserve (neck)
Over 0.5 without him: 28 of 41; with him: 55 of 79 (120 games as teammates)
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ANA in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 9 of 13 against ANA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Evan BouchardD
Leon DraisaitlC
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC
Matt SavoieCInjured Reserve
Zach HymanLWInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Oilers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ANA
Assists: 2 in 24.5 min, Oct 7 (away)
Over 0.5 hit in 9 of 13 games against ANA on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1.8
- +1.3 vs line
- Median
- 1.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 100%
- 10 of 10
- Price implies
- 75%
- at −305
- Books’ fair
- 72%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 75%
- estimate · fair −294
Research, not a pick. At −265 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −294, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3057 books | +2281 book | 10/10 | |
| +1506 books | −2301 book | 5/10 | |
| +5503 books | — | 3/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings4 min ago | −265Best | — |
| FanDuel2 min ago | −265Best | — |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −305 | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | −305 | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −305 | — |
| Pinnacle4 min ago | −326 | +228Best |
| Bovada4 min ago | −335 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:45 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.51.5 → 0.5 since first seen


