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Connor McDavid
EDM @ NJ · Today 7:30 PM
Game log against Over 0.5
100%10 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 10 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 assists.
Count only
Over 0.5 · L10Matchup · 14 games
NJ allow 3.07 assists a game to forwards: 26th most of 32
Rest
1 day off since Nov 1 at NYR
Last vs NJ
Assists: 0 in 25.3 min, Jan 20 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against NJ on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 2
- +1.5 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 100%
- 10 of 10
- Price implies
- 69%
- at −225
- Books’ fair
- 65%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 71%
- estimate · fair −247
Research, not a pick. At −225 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −247, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2252 books | +1651 book | 10/10 | |
| +2301 book | — | 6/10 | |
| +8001 book | — | 4/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel2 min ago | −225Best | — |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | −225Best | +165Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:52 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.51.5 → 0.5 since first seen