Cole Caufield
UTAH @ MTL · Today 7:00 PMGame log against Over 0.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Ivan Demidov: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 13; with him: 67 of 102 (115 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Mike Matheson: Out (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 11; with him: 66 of 104 (115 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Karel Vejmelka (Expected)
Saves: 209 of 242 (.864) over his last 10 games · 7 of UTAH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
UTAH allow 6.31 points a game to forwards: 17th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 7.10, 8th most
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against UTAH in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 4 of 4 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Nick SuzukiCDay-To-Day
Lane HutsonD
Juraj SlafkovskyLW
Ivan DemidovRWInjured Reserve
Mike MathesonDOut
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Canadiens count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs UTAH
Points: 1 in 17.8 min, Nov 26, 2025 (away)
Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 4 games against UTAH on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1.2
- +0.7 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 66%
- at −195
- Books’ fair
- 57%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −129
Research, not a pick. At −155 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −129, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1955 books | +1151 book | 6/10 | |
| +2355 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +7005 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings16 min ago | −155Best | +115Best |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −178 | — |
| Bally Bet16 min ago | −195 | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | −195 | — |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −195 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:12 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: −172 → −195 since first seen


