Cole Caufield

Montreal Canadiens · RW · #13

UTAH @ MTL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1755 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 3.5 Shots on Goal hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

vs BUF, 2026-10-13: 5, missed, 19.8 min
at WSH, 2026-10-14: 0, hit, 19.9 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-17: 5, missed, 18.1 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-20: 3, hit, 19.6 min
at CHI, 2026-10-23: 4, missed, 16.2 min
at WPG, 2026-10-25: 0, hit, 15.8 min
at STL, 2026-10-27: 3, hit, 16.4 min
at DAL, 2026-10-29: 3, hit, 18.4 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-31: 2, hit, 18.9 min
vs WPG, 2026-11-03: 4, missed, 17.4 min

Under hitMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–5 shots on goal.

What's different today

Under 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Ivan Demidov: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Under 3.5 without him: 7 of 13; with him: 63 of 102 (115 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Mike Matheson: Out (lower body)
Under 3.5 without him: 6 of 11; with him: 64 of 104 (115 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Karel Vejmelka (Expected)
Saves: 209 of 242 (.864) over his last 10 games · 7 of UTAH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
UTAH allow 18.2 shots on goal a game to forwards: 25th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 18.7, 23rd most

Splits

Under 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against UTAH in his last 10; Under 3.5 hit in 4 of 4 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 3.5 · L10

Nick SuzukiCDay-To-Day
Lane HutsonD
Juraj SlafkovskyLW
Ivan DemidovRWInjured Reserve
Mike MathesonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Canadiens count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Shots on Goal: 3 in 17.8 min, Nov 26, 2025 (away)

Under 3.5 hit in 4 of 4 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Under 3.5

Average: 2.9; −0.6 vs line
Median: 3; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −175
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −157

Research, not a pick. At −165 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −157, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−30001 book	—	2/10
−5502 books	—	2/10
−1902 books	—	3/10
+1205 books	−1753 books	6/10
+2602 books	—	8/10
+5002 books	—	10/10
+11001 book	—	10/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
DraftKings12 min ago	+120	−165Best
betPARX4 min ago	+120	−175
Bally Bet12 min ago	+125	−180
BetRivers2 min ago	+120	—
FanDuel1 min ago	+146Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:24 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Under isn't priced at 3.5 right now.

Cole Caufield's full game log and splits