Cale Makar

Colorado Avalanche · D · #8

NSH @ COL · Today 9:30 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1486 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs DAL, 2026-10-14: 2, missed, 22.9 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-16: 2, missed, 22.3 min
at PHI, 2026-10-19: 4, cleared, 23.6 min
at NJ, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 22.6 min
vs TB, 2026-10-23: 3, cleared, 21.1 min
at NSH, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 23.3 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-28: 6, cleared, 25.9 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 24.5 min
at CHI, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 23 min
at CBJ, 2026-11-03: 5, cleared, 22.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–5 shots on goal.

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs defensemen
NSH allow 8.4 shots on goal a game to defensemen: 3rd most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 8.6, 7th most
Teammate out
Josh Manson: Out (ankle)
Over 2.5 without him: 6 of 9; with him: 43 of 92 (101 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Juuse Saros (Expected)
Saves: 280 of 308 (.909) over his last 10 games · 7 of NSH's last 10 starts
Time on ice
Last 5: 23.8 min · 2026–27: 22.6 (15 games)
Power play: 4.2 min last 5 · 4.2 2026–27

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Nathan MacKinnonC
Martin NecasC
Devon ToewsD
Josh MansonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Avalanche count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NSH

Shots on Goal: 1 in 23.3 min, Oct 25 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 9 games against NSH on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 3.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −148
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −127

Research, not a pick. At −122 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −127, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−20001 book	—	10/10
−4252 books	—	9/10
−1486 books	+1055 books	6/10
+1652 books	—	3/10
+3602 books	—	2/10
+7501 book	—	1/10
+17001 book	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Pinnacle11 min ago	−122Best	−108
FanDuel5 min ago	−130	+100
DraftKings11 min ago	−145	+110Best
Bally Bet10 min ago	−148	+105
betPARX5 min ago	−148	+105
BetRivers5 min ago	−148	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:34 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: −135 → −148 since first seen

Cale Makar's full game log and splits