Cale Makar
NSH @ COL · Today 9:30 PM
Game log against Over 0.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Points cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Josh Manson: Out (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 9; with him: 58 of 92 (101 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Juuse Saros (Expected)
Saves: 280 of 308 (.909) over his last 10 games · 7 of NSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs defensemen
NSH allow 2.27 points a game to defensemen: 12th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 2.90, 2nd most
Time on ice
Last 5: 23.8 min · 2026–27: 22.6 (15 games)
Power play: 4.2 min last 5 · 4.2 2026–27
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Nathan MacKinnonC
Martin NecasC
Devon ToewsD
Josh MansonDOut
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Avalanche count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NSH
Points: 0 in 23.3 min, Oct 25 (away)
Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 9 games against NSH on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1.1
- +0.6 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 70%
- at −230
- Books’ fair
- 65%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 64%
- estimate · fair −179
Research, not a pick. At −220 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −179, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2306 books | +1602 books | 5/10 | |
| +1955 books | pick'em only | 4/10 | |
| +5755 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle4 min ago | −220Best | +160 |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −230 | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | −230 | — |
| BetRivers2 min ago | −230 | — |
| DraftKings4 min ago | −230 | +170Best |
| FanDuel2 min ago | −240 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:42 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5−220 → −230 since first seen