Cale Makar

Colorado Avalanche · D · #8

COL @ CBJ · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −2007 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightRest · back-to-back
Avalanche played last night (at CHI): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Josh Manson: Out (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 8; with him: 58 of 93 (101 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Cam Talbot (Confirmed)
Saves: 178 of 207 (.860) over his last 10 games · 5 of CBJ's last 10 starts
Defense vs defensemen
CBJ allow 2.33 points a game to defensemen: 12th most of 32
12 games · last 10 games: 2.20, 15th most

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

vs TOR, 2026-10-10: 1, cleared, 21.6 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-14: 0, missed, 22.9 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-16: 2, cleared, 22.3 min
at PHI, 2026-10-19: 0, missed, 23.6 min
at NJ, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 22.6 min
vs TB, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 21.1 min
at NSH, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 23.3 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 25.9 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-31: 4, cleared, 24.5 min
at CHI, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 23 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CBJ in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against CBJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Nathan MacKinnonC
Martin NecasC
Devon ToewsD
Josh MansonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Avalanche count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CBJ

Points: 0 in 23.6 min, Jan 10 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against CBJ on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1; +0.5 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 67%; at −200
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −144

Research, not a pick. At −165 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −144, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2007 books	+1222 books	5/10
+2356 books	—	3/10
+7006 books	—	1/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings8 min ago	−165Best	+120
Pinnacle1 min ago	−166	+125Best
FanDuel1 min ago	−180	—
Bally Bet1 min ago	−200	—
betPARXjust now	−200	—
BetRiversjust now	−200	—
Bovada1 min ago	−200	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:46 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over −186 → −200 since first seen

Cale Makar's full game log and splits