Cale Makar

Colorado Avalanche · D · #8

COL @ CBJ · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 Blocked Shots, typical price −1351 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightRest · back-to-back
Avalanche played last night (at CHI): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Josh Manson: Out (ankle)
Under 1.5 without him: 5 of 8; with him: 50 of 93 (101 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Cam Talbot (Confirmed)
Saves: 178 of 207 (.860) over his last 10 games · 5 of CBJ's last 10 starts
Defense vs defensemen
CBJ allow 7.2 blocked shots a game to defensemen: 29th most of 32
12 games · last 10 games: 7.5, 21st most

70%7 of 10L10

Under 1.5 Blocked Shots hit in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

vs TOR, 2026-10-10: 0, hit, 21.6 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-14: 1, hit, 22.9 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-16: 2, missed, 22.3 min
at PHI, 2026-10-19: 0, hit, 23.6 min
at NJ, 2026-10-20: 4, missed, 22.6 min
vs TB, 2026-10-23: 0, hit, 21.1 min
at NSH, 2026-10-25: 1, hit, 23.3 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 25.9 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 24.5 min
at CHI, 2026-11-02: 3, missed, 23 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 blocked shots.

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CBJ in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 4 against CBJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Nathan MacKinnonC
Martin NecasC
Devon ToewsD
Josh MansonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Avalanche count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CBJ

Blocked Shots: 1 in 23.6 min, Jan 10 (home)

Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against CBJ on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 0.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −135
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −143

Research, not a pick. At −135 the price beats our fair −143, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4501 book	—	5/10
−1051 book	−1351 book	7/10
+2751 book	—	8/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Blocked Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings2 min ago	−105Best	−135Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:29 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under +110 → −135 since first seen

Cale Makar's full game log and splits