Brock Nelson

Colorado Avalanche · C · #11

COL @ CBJ · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Assists, typical price +2357 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightRest · back-to-back
Avalanche played last night (at CHI): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Josh Manson: Out (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 8; with him: 32 of 102 (110 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Cam Talbot (Confirmed)
Saves: 178 of 207 (.860) over his last 10 games · 5 of CBJ's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
CBJ allow 4.00 assists a game to forwards: 10th most of 32
12 games · last 10 games: 3.80, 14th most

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

at DAL, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 19.7 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-14: 0, missed, 23 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-16: 1, cleared, 20.5 min
at PHI, 2026-10-19: 0, missed, 18.8 min
at NJ, 2026-10-20: 1, cleared, 17.5 min
vs TB, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 18.4 min
at NSH, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 16.5 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 16.6 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 13.6 min
at CHI, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 17 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CBJ in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 5 against CBJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Nathan MacKinnonC
Martin NecasC
Devon ToewsD
Josh MansonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Avalanche count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CBJ

Assists: 0 in 18.4 min, Jan 10 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 5 games against CBJ on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 30%; at +235
Books’ fair: 27%; margin removed
Time on ice: 18.2; 10 games · 19.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 27%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+2357 books	−3512 books	2/10
	+11002 books	—	0/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings11 min ago	+250Best	−350Best
Pinnacle6 min ago	+244	−353
Bally Bet6 min ago	+235	—
betPARX1 min ago	+235	—
BetRivers1 min ago	+235	—
FanDuel1 min ago	+196	—
Bovada6 min ago	+195	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:17 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +180 → +235 since first seen

Brock Nelson's full game log and splits