Brayden Point

Tampa Bay Lightning · C · #21

DET @ TB · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1043 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

vs MIN, 2026-10-08: 2, missed, 17.6 min
at NYI, 2026-10-10: 1, missed, 19 min
at NYR, 2026-10-13: 5, cleared, 20.2 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 18.6 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 17.1 min
at VGK, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 16.7 min
at COL, 2026-10-23: 3, cleared, 20.8 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 18.6 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 20.2 min
at NSH, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 23.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different on Tuesday

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 2.5 without him: 6 of 13; with him: 23 of 70 (83 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zemgus Girgensons: Out (lower body)
Over 2.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: 25 of 73 (76 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Daniil Tarasov started DET's last game
Saves: 216 of 237 (.911) over his last 10 games · 3 of DET's last 10 starts · John Gibson started 6 · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 17.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: 27th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 17.5, 27th most

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 2 of 8 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Brandon HagelLW
Nikita KucherovRW
Jake GuentzelC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve
Zemgus GirgensonsCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out on Tuesday. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Shots on Goal: 2 in 16.2 min, Apr 13 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 2 of 8 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 49%; at +104
Books’ fair: 46%; margin removed
Time on ice: 19.2; 10 games · 18.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 46%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−16001 book	—	9/10
−3101 book	—	6/10
+1043 books	−1373 books	4/10
+2251 book	—	1/10
+5001 book	—	1/10
+11001 book	—	0/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bally Bet44 hr ago	+105Best	−148
Pinnacle44 hr ago	+104	−137
DraftKings44 hr ago	−110	−125Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: +112 → +104 since first seen

Brayden Point's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.