Brayden Point
TB @ MIN · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 0.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayOpposing goalie
Calvin Pickard (Confirmed)
Saves: 227 of 258 (.880) over his last 10 games · 1 of MIN's last 10 starts · Jesper Wallstedt started 9
TodayDefense vs forwards
MIN allow 1.67 goals a game to forwards: the fewest of 32
18 games · last 10 games: 1.50, the fewest
Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 4 of 15; with him: 17 of 70 (85 games as teammates)
Time on ice
Last 5: 20 min · 2026–27: 19.4 (15 games)
Power play: 4.1 min last 5 · 4.6 2026–27
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 5 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Nikita KucherovRW
Brandon HagelLW
Jake GuentzelC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Goals: 0 in 17.6 min, Oct 8 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 35%
- at +188
- Books’ fair
- 32%
- margin removed
- Time on ice
- 19.3
- 10 games · 18.3 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 32%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1886 books | −2711 book | 3/10 | |
| +10005 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +55005 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel3 min ago | +195Best | — |
| Pinnacle3 min ago | +195Best | −271Best |
| DraftKings3 min ago | +190 | — |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | +188 | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | +188 | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | +188 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: +195 → +188 since first seen


